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Transnational Flows

Violence and conflict spread across borders through flows of people, weapons, resources and goods along pathways that are often centuries old. Borderland communities, which frequently share social, linguistic and cultural ties, often are enmeshed in these flows.  XCEPT sheds light on the web of interactions that connect conflicts across borders and regions, sustaining both conflict actors and the communities coping with long-term instability.

Below you can find and download publications by XCEPT partners exploring transnational flows and cross-border conflict.

Event

12th November 2025
Join us on 12 November 2025 for a virtual panel discussion on the captagon economy’s evolving role in the Middle East’s political and security landsca...

Research report

24th October 2025
This report explores the future of Captagon in the post-Assad Middle East. Drawing on open-source data and interviews with Syria’s counternarcotics fo...

Research report

16th June 2025
As geopolitical fragmentation deepens, conflicts are increasing in complexity and number, and internationalising in new ways as states, armed groups, ...

Event

12th June 2025
Following the conclusion of the Chatham House XCEPT research initiative, this event unpacks key findings and explores how policymakers can better resp...

Blog

2nd April 2025
Since 2019, the number of people attempting to flee Lebanon via irregular boat crossings has drastically increased. The new government in Lebanon, led...

Briefing paper

2nd April 2025
Irregular maritime migration from Lebanon has risen dramatically over the last three years, driven by compounded political, socio-economic, and securi...

Briefing paper

26th March 2025
This briefing paper examines policy considerations around the effects of climate change, specifically reduced water resources in the Helmand River Bas...

Research report

26th March 2025
How is climate change affecting water resources in the Helmand River Basin, and how might competition for these resources drive conflict in the futute...

Research report

26th March 2025
Gold has long been a conflict commodity in Sudan and continues to be the subject of intense competition between national and subnational military acto...

Briefing paper

26th March 2025
This brief contains policy considerations and implications resulting from violent clashes between Iranian and Afghan border forces in May 2023.

Research report

26th March 2025
What was the cause of an outburst of violence between Iranian and Afghan border forces in May 2023?

Blog

26th March 2025
Syria’s new government has moved quickly to curtail Hezbollah’s movements of weapons, money, contraband, and people through Syria.

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