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9 Articles found

Blog

31st March 2025

Assad’s fall ends drug smuggling – but trafficking to Jordan...

Haid Haid
Syria’s Captagon smugglers have adapted following the collapse of the Assad regime.
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Syria Middle East and North Africa Jordan Transnational Flows Organised Crime Conflict Dynamics

Blog

26th March 2024

A flashpoint looms in southern Syria

Armenak Tokmajyan
As the influence of the Assad regime and Russia declines, Iran is emerging as the main actor, which could provoke a major Israeli intervention.
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Syria Middle East and North Africa Jordan Iran Governance Conflict Economies Conflict Dynamics Borderlands

Blog

22nd March 2024

Borders have undermined Syrian sovereignty

Kheder Khaddour
A forthcoming Carnegie paper will argue that to understand Syria’s future, we will have to focus on the country’s peripheries.
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Syria Middle East and North Africa Lebanon Jordan Iraq Iran Governance Conflict Economies Conflict Dynamics Borderlands

Article

21st March 2024

Why Iranian entrenchment in southern Syria worries neighbour...

Kheder Khaddour, Armenak Tokmajyan
The Syrian regime has struggled to govern Syria’s south, while the Ukraine war has weakened Russia’s influence, making both more reliant on Tehran and...
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Syria Middle East and North Africa Lebanon Jordan Iran Conflict Economies Conflict Dynamics Borderlands

Blog

25th August 2021

Unfinished Business in Daraa

Armenak Tokmajyan
Regime forces are staging a comeback in southern Syria, and this time Russia may be helping matters.
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Middle East and North Africa Conflict Dynamics Borderlands

Blog

26th April 2021

Sailors Without a Sea

Armenak Tokmajyan, Laith Qerbaa
Jordan’s bahhara have suffered from a closed border with Syria, but efforts to resume informal trade ties continue.
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Middle East and North Africa Conflict Economies Borderlands

Article

19th April 2021

Thwarting Jordan’s Bahhara Trade With Syria Risks Social Unr...

Armenak Tokmajyan,
As border crossings reopen, Jordanian authorities might have to tolerate a degree of informal petty trade with Syria to revive Ramtha’s economy and pr...
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Syria Middle East and North Africa Jordan Horn of Africa and the Sahel Borderlands

Research report

14th July 2020

How Southern Syria Has Been Transformed Into a Regional Powd...

Armenak Tokmajyan
In southern Syria, the regime, opposition, foreign powers, and local groups navigate a contentious zone of conflict. Any shift in this delicate balanc...
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Syria Middle East and North Africa Jordan Iran Conflict Dynamics Borderlands

Blog

3rd June 2020

Beyond the Line in the Sand

Armenak Tokmajyan, Walid Al-Nofal
Syria’s conflict has transformed the conditions of tribal clan notables who have sought refuge in Jordan.
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Middle East and North Africa Migration Conflict Dynamics Borderlands

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